We are glad you are looking to further understand
In basic terms,
what PossessionPoints measures is very simple. The object for the
offense is to
keep the ball and score.
The object for the defense is to
get the ball
and stop the other team from scoring on offense. Doing this
late in the game is more important than doing it early in the game.
That's it in a nutshell! Of course, there are numerical values that
go along with the measure, and we do a lot of things from forecasting
to analysis with these numbers. However, it's not important
that we talk about
numberical values here because we have color coded their significance so you
can quickly see when one team has a gained an advantage.
We kept the
colors simple too, Green, Yellow and Red.
Here is the
significance of "Green". In the 1024 regular season games from 2006 - 2009:
There have been 834 times that a team's
offensive number turned green,
that team won 75% of the time.
There have been 644 times that a team's
defensive number turned green,
that team won 85% of the time.
There have been 623 times that a
team's overall number turned green,
that team won 91%
of the time.
There have been 293 times that all
three numbers were green for a team,
that team won 96%
of the time.
You now know the basics of what
PossessionPoints measures and how well the stat correlates to
winning. Still want to know more? Go
here for more details.